From The Center For Media Research: The Impact Of The Internet In 10 Years: The Gurus Speak
April 25, 2014
From the Pew Research Center, and Elon University's Imagining the Internet Center, more than 12,000 consumers yielded 2,551 respondents to answer the open-ended question about the role of the Internet in people's lives in 2025, and the impact it will have on social, economic and political processes. In this survey, most respondents easily identified downsides to a highly networked future, suggesting that analysts are much more experienced with, and aware of, the threats of connectivity today than they were a decade ago.
To a notable extent, the experts agree on the technology change that lies ahead, even as they disagree about its ramifications. Most believe there will be:
- A global, immersive, invisible, ambient networked computing environment built through the continued proliferation of smart sensors, cameras, software, databases and massive data centers in a world-spanning information fabric known as the Internet of Things
- "Augmented reality" enhancements to the real-world input that people perceive through the use of portable/wearable/implantable technologies
- Disruption of business models established in the 20th century (most notably impacting finance, entertainment, publishers of all sorts, and education)
- Tagging, databasing, and intelligent analytical mapping of the physical and social realms
Here is just some of the excerpts of the salient expectations, numbered for convenience to readers navigating this document, not in a rank ordering.
1) Information sharing over the Internet will be so effortlessly interwoven into daily life that it will become invisible, flowing like electricity, often through machine intermediaries.
David Clark, a senior research scientist at MIT's Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, noted, "Devices will ... have their own patterns of communication ... their own 'social networks,' ... to share and aggregate information, and undertake automatic control and activation ... humans will be in a world in which decisions are being made by an active set of cooperating devices ... the Internet (and computer-mediated communication in general) will become more pervasive but less explicit and visible... "
2) The spread of the Internet will enhance global connectivity that fosters more planetary relationships and less ignorance.
Bryan Alexander, senior fellow at the National Institute for Technology in Liberal Education, wrote, "It will be a world more integrated than ever before ... more planetary friendships, rivalries, romances, work teams, study groups and collaborations... "
3) The Internet of Things, artificial intelligence, and big data will make people more aware of their world and their own behavior.
Patrick Tucker, author of The Naked Future: What Happens In a World That Anticipates Your Every Move?, wrote, "...when the cost of collecting information on virtually every interaction falls to zero ... insights we gain from our activity ... will fundamentally change the way we relate to one another, to institutions, and with the future itself ... we will become far more knowledgeable about the consequences of our actions ... we will edit our behavior more quickly and intelligently..."
4) Augmented reality and wearable devices will be implemented to monitor and give quick feedback on daily life, especially tied to personal health.
Aron Roberts, software developer at the University of California-Berkeley, said, " We (will) see wearable devices and/or home and workplace sensors that ... make ongoing lifestyle changes and provide early detection for disease risks, not just disease ... be able to adjust both medications and lifestyle changes on a day-by-day basis ... or an hour-by-hour basis ... enormously magnifying the effectiveness of an ever more understaffed medical delivery system..."
Among the experts who contributed to this project were some of the most prominent Internet analysts of our generation. The report highlights the predictions of some of the people most deeply involved in shaping our digital present.
And, please visit PEW here for the report in a PDF file.
THE 'A-SIDE' - TRACK 2
A MUSICAL JOURNEY THROUGH MUSCLE SHOALS
"The word "magic" is mentioned a lot in Muscle Shoals, a mesmerizing documentary that tries to explain, or at least place in context, the extraordinary success of FAME (founded by producer Rick Hall in the late 1950s) and Muscle Shoals Sound (a competing studio spun off in 1969 by members of FAME's original house band, known as the Swampers). It's as good a word as any to capture the ineffable quality of the Muscle Shoals sound, which is a blend of hillbilly music, blues and spirituals, among other diverse influences." - Michael O'Sullivan, Washington Post
I saw the documentary this week on PBS's 'Independent Lens' series, and it is terrific. Check your local PBS station's website for rebroadcast, but in the meantime, check out a collection of videos from some of the favorite artists to grace the cozy confines of the FAME and Muscle Shoals Sound studios, some featured in the film, some not. Check it out
THE 'A-SIDE' - TRACK 3
HOW JACK WHITE MADE THE WORLD'S FASTEST RECORD FOR RECORD STORE DAY
In just four hours Jack White pressed and distributed 'Lazaretto' and had it ready for sale at his Third Man Records in Nashville, on last Saturday's Record Store Day.
How did he do it? Read the story
THE 'A-SIDE' - TRACK 4
WHAT DO YOU DO WITH ALL THOSE OLD CDs YOU NO LONGER PLAY?
CNET asks "Is your CD collection gathering dust in your attic? If so, then it might be time to sell, donate, or recycle your outdated mode of music storage." Read more
THE 'A-SIDE' - TRACK 5
HOW HOLLYWOOD IS TURNING PIRACY INTO MILLIONS
Hollywood's fight against piracy has entered a new phase, one in which movie studios and TV producers are trying to make money off of what they once deemed stolen content.
YouTube videos are the prime example. Hollywood was outraged when videos of their movies and TV shows began popping up on the video site, and Viacom went so far as to sue YouTube -- a suit they settled in March. Now, BroadbandTV is one of several companies helping media outlets make more money on YouTube. Full story at TheWrap
THE 'A-SIDE' - TRACK 6
THAT AERO SUPREME COURT CASE AND WHY IT MATTERS
Aero is a company that wants to change the way you watch TV, fighting against broadcasters billions. Read that story at TheWrap
Aereo wants to give you broadcast TV on the Web. But it needed thousands of mini-antennas, high-octane transcoding, and lots of air conditioners to build a system it hopes can pass legal scrutiny. Ahead of tomorrow's Supreme Court hearings, CNET's Joan Solsman reports on how it all came together. READ MORE
Are you curious if the Supreme Court will let Aereo live or die? So are copyright experts at the country's top law schools, especially with the future of TV and digital copyright on the line. Read more
The U.S. Supreme Court heard arguments in American Broadcasting Companies, Inc., et al. v. Aereo, Inc., the outcome of which could determine the future of broadcast and streaming television. According to CNN's coverage of today's hearings, several of the justices repeatedly expressed concerns that a broad ruling against Aereo would damage the nascent cloud computing industry because of how Aereo works and seemed to be searching for a way to avoid that outcome.
THE 'A-SIDE' - TRACK 7
MAKE SOCIAL MEDIA WORK FOR YOU AND YOUR MUSIC
It's probably not a surprise that using Facebook, Twitter, Pinterest, YouTube and other social media sites can help your music career. But it's not always clear how to use these sites effectively. And managing half-dozen profiles can turn into a full-time job. How then to get the most out of social media?
The free guide, 'The Musician's Guide to Social Media,' offers valuable, hit-the-ground-running advice, featuring tons of suggestions for how to get the most from your videos, photos, and tweets, how to manage all your profiles without it taking all day, and how to build your fan base.
Get your copy of The Musician's Guide to Social Media today!
THE 'A-SIDE' - THE BONUS TRACKS
The Who Resurrect 'Quadrophenia' In 1996
Springsteen's New 'American Beauty' Clip
Prince Gains His Catalog in Landmark Deal With Warner Bros.; New Album Coming
Watch Rolling Stones' Sixties Newsreels
Watch a Drug-Fueled Clip From 'Super Duper Alice Cooper' – Premiere
Jay Z Involved In Extortion Plot Over Master Recordings: Report
Spotify Tricks You Need To Try
15 Coolest/Weirdest Musician Cameos on TV
John and Yoko's Love, Animated
Hollywood's Highest Paid Executives: Who Made Bank, Who Sank in 2013
The 4 Strangest Things Nobody Tells You About Life in China
Everything there is to know about the next iPhone
Get a pair of Avantree Bluetooth sport earphones for $24.99
Oppo's new headphone, the astonishing PM-1
What we know about the Netflix price hike
Americans wary of future tech
Roku brings YouTube to all current-generation streamers
Meet Google's modular phone
25 Symbols You Never Noticed in Everyday Life
Short News Items ...
SNL 40 NEXT YEAR:
"Saturday Night Live" plans a blowout 40th birthday next year. Eddie Murphy, Tina Fey, Mike Myers, Will Ferrell and more will return.
For the first time since 2007, U2, Madonna and the Rolling Stones are all sitting out the U.S. touring circuit this summer. "There's good talent selling out arenas right now," says one promoter. Still, some concert industry players are nervous about the season. Read More
Apple reported stronger-than-expected financial results in the second quarter of fiscal year 2014 thanks to strong iPhone sales and the growth of its China business. It reported earnings per share of $11.62, compared to the $10.18 analysts expected, and revenue of $45.6 billion, compared to the $43.5 billion expected. The company's shares are up about 8% in early trading on Thursday, hitting an intraday high of nearly $569.
NEIL YOUNG'S COVERS:
Neil Young's new covers record, 'A Letter Home,' was been released through Jack White's Third Man Records just in time for Record Store Day. There's been no formal announcement, but Third Man is accepting orders for the vinyl version right now through their website. It retails for $20, plus shipping. The entire record -- which includes covers of classic songs by Bruce Springsteen, Bob Dylan, Willie Nelson and many others -- was recorded in a refurbished 1947 Voice-o-Graph vinyl recording booth at Jack White's Third Man store in Nashville.
YOUTUBE AND MUSIXMATCH:
Hypebot reports that MusiXmatch is integrating lyrics into YouTube music videos offering viewers the ability to monitor or sing along while viewing. MusiXmatch is now offering lyrics to mobile apps, a Spotify desktop app and TV screens through Apple's AirPlay. Read More
'THE VOICE' DROPS AS WELL:
This week 'The Voice' dropped 10% from last week to a 2.7/9 -- a series low excluding specials. 'The Voice' drew 11 million total viewers. Despite the drop, the show was the top-rated show on Tuesday night, Full story at TheWrap
iHEART RADIO AWARDS:
Pharrell, Drake and Blake Shelton are among the A-listers set to perform at the first iHeartRadio Music Awards. Clear Channel announced Monday that Kendrick Lamar, Shakira, Ed Sheeran and Arcade Fire will also take the stage at the May 1st awards show in Los Angeles. Lady Gaga, Katy Perry, Lorde and Coldplay's Chris Martin will make appearances. Contenders for artist of the year include Rihanna, Maroon 5, Justin Timberlake, Imagine Dragons and Macklemore & Ryan Lewis.
With revenues increasing, EDM continuing to expand and companies like Live Nation creating new events every year, 2014's crop of music festivals might be bigger than any before. From Jazz Fest in April to TomorrowWorld in September, here's your guide to the best. Read More
STILL MORE MACCA:
Paul McCartney has added more shows to his current 'Out There' tour: July 9th: Chicago, IL – United Center; July 12th: Fargo, ND – Fargodome; July 14th: Lincoln, NE - Pinnacle Bank Arena; July 16th: Kansas City, MO - Sprint Center; August 2nd: Minneapolis, MN – Target Field
SAMSUNG MILK FLOWING:
PaidContent.org reports that Milk Music, Samsung's streaming radio service introduced in early March, has been downloaded 380,000 times to date. Samsung Media Solutions Center President, Wonpyo Hong, stated that the company is planning a premium version of Milk. Read More
Well, since CNN"s been doing 'Breaking News' everyday on the missing Malaysian jet with news that isn't news or breaking, I thought I'd report these items the same way: A) Guns N'Roses guitarist Richard Fortus reported this week that the group was "working on stuff." "Hopefully very soon we're going to have new stuff out," he told an Associated Press reporter at the Revolver magazine Golden Gods Awards in Los Angeles (This is news?); B) Metallica's Lars Ulrich says the band is in "the fourth inning" towards next album. (How about just telling us when it's done?)
Country music singer Kevin Sharp died last Saturday from ongoing complications from past stomach surgeries and digestive issues, according to his official website. He was 43.
Rubin "Hurricane" Carter, 76, the boxer who was wrongly convicted of a triple murder in New Jersey in the 1960s and later exonerated, died from prostate cancer. Carter was the subject of the 1999 film "The Hurricane," starring Denzel Washington, and a Bob Dylan song titled "Hurricane."
Jose Luis "Cheo" Feliciano, a giant of salsa music, with one of the most recognizable and imitated voices in Latin music and a Puerto Rican legend, died in a car crash last week in San Juan, Puerto Rico police said. He was 78.
The B-Side - 'Blips'
THE ONION (www.theonion.com) STORY OF THE WEEK:
Alabama Quietly Strikes Bo Bice Day From State Calendar
Alabama Quietly Strikes Bo Bice Day From State Calendar
MONTGOMERY, AL—Conceding that there was no longer a need to formally acknowledge the accomplishments of American Idol fourth season runner-up and Alabama native Bo Bice, state officials Friday quietly moved to strike Bo Bice Day from the official state calendar. http://www.theonion.com/articles/alabama-quietly-strikes-bo-bice-day-from-state-cal,35824/
The Music Industry Past, Present & Future, And The Internet I answer questions on EconTalk
I did an interview about the industry and the Internet at EconTalk with host Russ Roberts. Russ is also a professor of economics at George Mason University, blogs at Cafe Hayek, and has written three novels that teach economics. He's also the co-creator of the Keynes-Hayek rap video. (And if your understanding of the economic meltdown that occurred needs to be enlightened, this video will do it)
In the interview we talk about the evolution of the music industry, the impact of the digital revolution, and I give my reasons for believing in the virtues and potential of the Internet in enhancing the music industry. I point out, as I have many times here in the newsletter, that the internet allows numerous artists to make money from their music and it can enhance revenues from live performances by expanding an artist's base. We also discuss the challenges facing record companies and I suggest that the full potential of the Internet as a distribution channel has yet to be fully exploited. There's a lot of ground covered, but based on the comments already posted of those who have tuned in, they've enjoyed it.
Read more about it by clicking here.
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